Real Sectoral Spillovers: A Dynamic Factor Analysis of the Great Recession PDF
By:MissNan Li,Mr.Vance Martin
Published on 2018-05-09 by International Monetary Fund
This paper studies changes in the transmission of common versus sectoral idiosyncratic shocks across different U.S. nonfarm business sectors during the Great Recession, and evaluates the cross-sectoral spillovers. Shocks are identified by dynamic factor methods. We find that the Great Recession is largely a time of heightened impact of common shocks— which accounts for 3/4 of aggregate volatility—and large spillovers of negative financerelated shocks. Moreover, in contrast with the earlier literature that failed to find a significant role of sectoral shocks (propagated through the input-output linkages across sectors) in driving variability in aggregate industry output, this study allows spillovers of shocks to operate through other mechanisms intertemporally. We find that prior to the recession the majority of aggregate fluctuations is explained by sector-specific shocks.
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Book which was published by International Monetary Fund since 2018-05-09 have ISBNs, ISBN 13 Code is 9781484355763 and ISBN 10 Code is 1484355768
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